No Easy Answers to Saving in The Retirement Catch-Up Guide

Like most library patrons, I keep an eye on the books sitting on display shelves and happily pick up any that sound interesting: after all, if the book isn’t good it didn’t cost me anything to try it. (I prefer to only buy books that I will read more than once, like Terry Pratchett novels.) The Retirement Catch-Up Guide seemed like a catchy title, so I snagged it looking for any easy answers to increasing our savings or improving our pensions.

Check the Country of Origin of Retirement Books

When I opened the book at home the first thing I noticed was the annoying phrases “Uncle Sam”, “IRAs, and Roth IRAs”  and “401(k)” littering the Introduction’s starting page. I had made the classic mistake of not checking the country of origin of the book. Fortunately, I hadn’t bought the book. I decided to read it anyway, in case there were ideas that could cross the border successfully. Sections on avoiding taxes and so on, however, were irritatingly common.

For example, in the USA State taxes can vary greatly depending on what services, or lack of services, the state provides. If you look at an income tax calculator for Canadian taxes, though, like the one that Ernst and Young provides, you’ll find there isn’t a huge difference in provincial taxes. That’s because our provinces all offer a fairly similar level of service . So the book’s advice to consider moving to another State to significantly lower your taxes isn’t particularly useful to Canadians intending to stay in Canada.

Some of the advice about minimizing taxes and mortgages is also not relevant in Canada. Generally speaking, we can’t deduct mortgage interest costs from our income taxes.

Check the Date of Original Publication of Retirement Books

The copy of the book I borrowed had been acquired by the library in 2006. But it was first published in 2000. That means it was likely written in 1998 or 1999. It had been revised in 2003 but not as much as you might expect given the dot-com stock market bubble popped.

The book is based on “real” examples of situations people found themselves in while approaching or in retirement. That means that the amounts of dollars that they were saving or receiving were the real amounts in the late 1990s when the book’s data was collected. With inflation, though, these numbers now seem ridiculously small. It’s jarring to read.

Similarly, the numbers quoted for “average” rates of return seem ridiculously high. Here’s an example, “She will sell an investment property that she’s been renting out, and re-invest the proceeds—hopefully at a 15 percent rate of return per year.” I wish!

What’s Good about The Retirement Catch-Up Guide

  • The book does have some good advice and some good points, though.
  • It leads the reader through the basic steps required to plan for retirement, although without a great deal of detail. For example, the reader should
  • Check all of the possible sources of income for retirement. The book gives examples of some that people might have overlooked.
  • Plan what retirement looks like. Someone who plans to travel the world playing the top golf course in each country will need more retirement funds than someone who plans to downsize to a rented apartment in a small town where their children live and provide childcare for their grandchildren in return for meals.
  • Estimate what retirement costs will need to be paid.
  • Look for creative ways to increase retirement savings or income. Some examples include people selling real estate and investing the proceeds or buying real estate as an investment or as a rental income option. Many people upgraded their skills and looked for jobs that paid more for their last 15 working years. Others planned to work part-time in retirement, often for themselves, and acquired the skills they would need to make that happen while still working.
  • Consider whether you can maximize your retirement living while minimizing your costs by re-locating. The book describes how some retirees moved out of the country and within the country to reduce their costs of living.

What’s Bad About the Retirement Catch-Up Guide

  • It’s outdated. This really shows up in the expected rates of return for investing and costs of living.
  • It’s fairly shallow. You can’t describe well how to invest in 10 pages including the stock market, real estate and a personal business.
  • It’s country-specific to the USA.

Recommendation for the Retirement Catch-Up Guide

If you have this book freely available, for example at your library, it may be worth a quick read through, especially if you live in the US. Generally, though, I’d skip this one and look for a more recent book written for the country you live in.

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What Inflation Rate Should I Use for the Cost of Electricity? How Much Does Electricity Go Up Each Year?

Unfortunately you can’t just set a budget once and use it for years. The costs of budget items keep changing even if your usage stays the same. As we approach retirement, I keep trying to get a clearer picture of what our costs will be not just for year 1 but for 20-30 years, should we be so lucky. Recently, I decided to check into how much our cost for electricity has been going up each year above the so-called rate of inflation.

What Total Amount Do We Pay Per kWh for Electricity Including the Taxes, Surcharges and Other Costs?

In Ontario, we pay a high rate for home use of electricity. Partly that’s because we’re still paying off all sorts of costs related to setting up and maintaining our nuclear reactors, shutting down our coal-fired generating stations, and paying huge amounts per kWh to people who set up solar arrays.

I took a look at our annual total spending on electricity divided by our total annual usage to see what our historical annual charge per kWh has been.

Year    $/kW         % Change

2015    0.156         6
2014    0.147         7
2013    0.137         7
2012    0.129       24
2011    0.103        -3
2010    0.107      -10
2009    0.119         8
2008    0.111        -6
2007    0.118      -21
2006    0.149         8
2005    0.138         9
2004    0.127         7
2003    0.119      -13
2002    0.137       22
2001    0.112

What Percentage Did Our Electricity Costs Go Up Per Year for the Past 10 Years?

If you look at the chart above, you’ll see it jumps around a lot. That’s because some of the rates were before “time of use” billing. And some years we used less or more electricity depending on the weather. And various government incentives and penalties came on and off.

You can see it’s going to be very difficult to pick a number to use for our rate of inflation. Some years our hydro rate per kWh actually decreased substantially, even though our usage has been fairly constant. That’s because this rate includes all those “non-variable” costs like delivery charges and debt retirement fees.

For planning purposes, I’m going to use 7% for the annual rate of increase in hydro costs. It’s probably wrong but I have to use something!

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What do you use to estimate the increase in the cost of electricity per year in your budget? Have you ever had to cut from other budget categories because your hydro costs rose faster than you expected? Please share your experiences with a comment.